The National Center for Hydrology and Meteorology (NCHM) released the summer monsoon outlook for (June-July-August-September) 2021. The rainfall for the summer monsoon will be normal with maximum and minimum temperature predicted to range between normal to slightly above normal. Further, the summer monsoon outlook has to be used along with daily weather forecast and extended range forecast issued by NCHM. As an important climate sensitive sector, the department actively participates in SASCOF and NCOF and communicates the forecast to the community level users.

For more details, please refer the NCHM website or contact Agrometeorology Program of the Department.

NATIONAL CENTER FOR HYDROLOGY AND METEOROLOGY
THIMPHU: BHUTAN
21 May, 2021
Press Release
Precipitation and Temperature Outlook for Southwest Summer Monsoon
(June — September, 2021)
The National Center for Hydrology and Meteorology releases the outlook for precipitation and temperature for the 2021 summer season. for the months of June to September 2021. This year due to the pandemic, the 7th session of National Climate Outlook Forum (NCOF-7) was held virtually on 21 May 2021. The presentation of the outlook was made to all the stakeholders and media. The forecast was prepared using a statistical model (Climate Predictability Tool) with inputs of the GCMs data. The final outlook is also based on the consensus outlook of the South Asian Climate Outlook Forum (SASCOF-19) held virtually from 26 — 28th April. 2021, and outlook from WMO GPCs and various other sources. Similar to best practices in other countries, the summer monsoon outlook has to be used along with the extended range forecasts. daily weather forecasts and other advisories released by the Center. Stakeholders and users are advised to follow the NCHM website
and Facebook pages for advisories and updates.
Rainfall Forecast for 2021 Summer Season
Normal is the average rainfall for the summer season (JJAS) of Bhutan from 1996 to 2020. The summer rainfall for Bhutan during 2021 JJAS monsoon season is most likely to be normal to slightly above normal. Rainfall is likely to be similar to last year.
Temperature Forecast for 2021 Summer Season
Normal is the average temperature (maximum and minimum) for the summer season (JJAS) of Bhutan from 1996-2020. The maximum and minimum temperature in Bhutan during the 2021 JJAS monsoon season is likely to be normal to slightly above normal. Summer temperature is also expected to be similar or slightly warmer than last year.
Post Box No.207: Tel: +975 2 324999: + 975 2 335578
Email:wcsd@nchm.gov.bt Website: www.nchm.gov.bt

The National Center for Hydrology and Meteorology (NCHM) released the summer monsoon outlook for (June-July-August-September) 2021.

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